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Collections under which this article appears: Editorials |
Last month, Science selected the opportunities presented by research on embryonic stem cells as the latest of our Breakthroughs of the Year (Science, 17 December 1999, pp. 2238 and 2267). That discovery, like all scientific research, was possible only because of the previously accumulated body of scientific information, hypotheses, and tools of observation. Our annual selections of Breakthroughs are intended to draw attention to significant scientific achievement. But knowing that any annual retrospective is both temporally and substantively shortsighted, Science begins with this issue a "Pathways of Discovery" series as part of our yearlong special coverage of the transition into the next millennium.
For the remainder of 2000, the second issue of each month will include an essay portraying the pathways of discovery in exciting areas of investigation ranging from quantum physics to cosmology and from genomics to atmospheric sciences. For each topic covered, all of them coordinated by Contributing Editor Ivan Amato, distinguished scientists will review what they see as the major past heuristic accomplishments along the intellectual pathway they presently traverse, and they'll imagine the downstream terrain of that pathway through extrapolation from discoveries unfolding now.
The opening essay of this series, by Stephen Jay Gould (p. 253), is a provocative approach to the question of what distinguishes the scientific way of knowing about the world and what it is about that way of knowing that is all too human. Gould sees a false dichotomy in today's "science wars" between scientist-realists and humanist-relativists who question whether scientific truth has any special standing among other claims of truth. His assessments will prepare readers of subsequent essays for the mix of rational and nonrational influences that continually shape the ever more-revealing worldview scientists have been building.
To help lay out our year of Pathways essays, in this issue we have assembled a graphical timeline of major past events and agents of discovery. The points along the way were drawn from initial selections by Science's editors and then refined and vetted with the help of historians of science (the editors retain credit for any errors, omissions, or overemphases). From this overarching timeline of discovery, an at least arguable origin for each of the 11 essay topics to follow can be seen (p. 230). Each essay will include a more focused timeline depicting pathways of discoveries germane to the topic. In addition, through collaboration with the Encyclopedia Britannica, their Web site (www.britannica.com) will enrich each month's essay with links to unique historical and other informational resources.
These timelines serve as convenient simplifications of the spectacular and progressive accumulation of insight and understanding scientists have achieved. A more detailed visual metaphor of this progress would look like an intricate circulatory system with multiple ever-finer branchings that often interconnect with other parts of the nexus. Science has indeed become a process of continuous specialization, yet each new capillary of investigation contributes to the overall understanding. As some of our essays will show, like that on genomics by Eric Lander and Robert Weinberg slated for March, each new branch of science can open wondrous new opportunities while posing societal challenges that will require vigilance and insightful management.
The unavoidable consequence of focusing on the pathways we have chosen to highlight in this series is the obligatory omission of the many, many other important pathways of discovery that deserved equal recognition in our homage to the past. Recognizing that a truly comprehensive portrayal of science's leading edges was beyond our resources, we opted for some themes that have figured prominently in our pages over the past decade as examples of the flows of ideas and technologies within and between the various pathways of science.
For this editor, the most remarkable conclusion to emerge from this exercise was the realization* that in the millennium we are about to leave, humanity's knowledge of its place in the universe has moved from St. Thomas Aquinas's view that knowledge was of two types--that which man could know and that which was "higher than man's knowledge" and not to be sought through reason--to the belief begun with Newton's Principia that our universe and all within it are indeed knowable. We eagerly await readers' views of our Pathways.
*A. Lightman, New York Times Magazine, 19 September 1999, p. 94.
Pathways of Discovery
To help readers negotiate Science magazine's yearlong series, Pathways of Discovery, we compiled this timeline. It leaves out far more than it includes, but we hope it--along with Stephen Jay Gould's provocative essay on page 253 and this issue's editorial by Science Editor-in-Chief Floyd Bloom--will give readers an idea of what to expect from this series. A schedule of the essay topics appear below.
PATHWAY TO ... | ||
1 | "Science Wars" [Summary] [Full Text] | January |
2 | Planetary Sciences | February |
3 | Genomics | March |
4 | Infectious Diseases | April |
5 | Materials Science | May |
6 | Cloning/Stem Cells | June |
7 | Communications | July |
8 | Quantum Physics | August |
9 | The Cell Cycle | September |
10 | Atmospheric Sciences | October |
11 | Neuroscience | November |
12 | Astrophysics/Cosmology | December |
Along the timeline, colored numbers and arrows mark points of departure. These are moments in the history of science where the pathways of discovery associated with each of the 12 topical essays in the series might have begun to unfold. |
Prior to 600 B.C. |
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B.C. Prescientific Era Phenomena explained within contexts of magic, religion, and experience. |
6th Century B.C. Greek philosophers begin constructing natural and rational explanations for phenomena. |
582-500 B.C. Pythagoras Recognizes connection between mathematics and nature. "All is number." |
5th to 4th Centuries B.C Leucippus and Democritus Articulate the earliest known version of atomism. |
427-347 B.C. Plato Emphasizes the value of theory. |
384-322 B.C. Aristotle Supports logic and common sense in the observation and classification of natural phenomena. His writings become a cornerstone of Western thinking for nearly 2000 years. |
3rd to 2nd Centuries B.C. Euclid Writes The Elements, one of the earliest logically built texts using axioms and logical deduction for geometric proofs. Birth of alchemy |
287-212 B.C. Archimedes Recognizes how theory can lead to technological insight. |
A.D. |
140 Ptolemy Summarizes his geocentric astronomy, which reigns until Copernicus (1543). |
131-200 Galen Writes text on anatomy that is preeminent until Vesalius (1543). |
500 Symbol for "zero" created in India |
1000 Mayan and Hindu skywatchers make astronomical observations for agricultural and religious purposes. |
1166 Oxford University is founded and becomes model for other European universities. |
13th Century Mechanical clocks proliferate |
1285-1349 William of Ockham Touts simplicity in explanation as a virtue. |
1370 Synchronization of clocks in Paris, an emblematic moment in the history of standardization. |
1454 Johannes Gutenberg Demonstrates movable type printing press in Germany. |
1454 Paracelsus His anti-authoritarianism helps the West break loose from scholastic dogma. |
1500s |
1543 Andreas Vesalius Publishes De Corporis Humani Fabrica, displacing Galen as the authority on anatomy. |
1543 Nicolaus Copernicus Publishes De Revolutionibus Orbium Coelestium, displacing geocentric (Ptolemaic) system with heliocentric system. |
1570 Tycho Brahe Increases accuracy of astronomical observation. |
1590 Zacharias Janssen Builds first microscope. |
1600s |
1600 William Gilbert Publishes De Magnete, in which he postulates that Earth behaves as a huge magnet. |
1608 Hans Lippershey Manufactures first telescopes; originally used for military purposes. |
1609 Johannes Kepler Publishes Astronomia Nova, in which he defines first two laws of planetary motion. |
1610 Galileo Galilei With one of the first telescopes, he makes extensive astronomical observations; publishes Siderius Nuncius. |
1620 Francis Bacon Publishes Novum Organum, in which he espouses careful observation and inductive reasoning as a basis of scientific study. "I have taken all knowledge to be my province." |
1629 William Harvey Publishes Exercitatio anatomica de motu cordis et sanguinis in animalibus, by which he establishes the basic geometry of the circulatory system. |
1637 René Descartes His Discours de la Methode combines skepticism, algebra, and geometry into the powerful mathematical method of analysis. |
1643 Evangelista Torricelli Invents the barometer. "We live submerged at the bottom of an ocean of the element air." |
1660 Royal Society in England is legally chartered |
1661 Robert Boyle Publishes The Sceptical Chymist, helping to establish a more modern basis for chemistry. |
1676 Anton van Leeuwenhoek Uses simple microscope to magnify the world up to 200 times. In pond water, he sees tiny living organisms. A pathway to microbiology opens. |
1686 John Ray Starts publishing a three- volume classification of 18,600 different plant species. |
1687 Isaac Newton Publishes his Principia Mathematica, in which he lays out mathematically the laws of motion, universal gravitation, and the scientific method in general. |
1700s |
1705 Edmund Halley Predicts that a comet will return in 1758. When it does, it serves as a powerful demonstration of science's ability to understand the world. |
1714 Daniel Fahrenheit Invents mercury thermometer and standardizes it with ice and boiling water. |
1720 Lady Mary Wortley Montagu Introduces early technique of immunization. |
1735 Carolus Linnaeus Publishes Systema Naturae, thereby greatly pushing forward systematic study and rules of classification of theliving kingdom. |
1750 Benjamin Franklin Shows lightning to be an electrical discharge. |
1758 Halley's Comet returns |
1759 Kaspar Wolff Shows that specialized organs develop out of unspecialized tissue, a pathway to developmental biology. |
1769 Antoine Lavoisier Raises practice of making quantitative measurement in chemical studies to a level that earns him eternal credit as the father of modern chemistry. |
1780 Luigi Galvani Observes connection between electricity and muscle action. |
1795 James Hutton Publishes Theory of Earth, arguing for a picture of gradual, steady terrestrial changes that became known as uniformitarianism. |
1790 Metric system developed ... kilometer, meter, millimeter ... |
1795 James Hutton Publishes Theory of Earth, arguing for a picture of gradual, steady terrestrial changes that became known as uniformitarianism. |
1796 Edward Jenner Develops technique he called vaccination; the science of immunology begins. |
1797 Georges Cuvier Publishes first work of comparative anatomy that would support the later evolutionists; his later work with fossils would found the field of paleontology. |
1800s |
1806 Alessandro Volta Invents the electric battery, thereby opening the way to several new sciences--including electrochemistry--and technologies. |
1808 John Dalton Publishes New System of Chemical Philosophy, refining idea of atoms and how they combine. |
1809 Jean-Baptiste de Lamarck Publishes Zoological Philosophy, in which he proposes that evolution occurs by the inheritance of traits acquired during lifetime. |
1820
Hans Christian Oersted Discovers connection between electricity and magnetism, that is, the basic principle of electromagnetism. |
1828 Friedrich Wöhler Synthesizes an organic compound, urea, in the laboratory, thereby breaking down categorical distinction between life and nonlife. |
1830 Charles Lyell Publishes first volume of The Principles of Geology. |
1837 Louis Agassiz Argues for the existence of an ice age in the past. |
1838-39 Matthias Schleiden and Theodor Schwann Develop cell theory -- that living things are made of cells. "The elementary parts of all tissues are formed of cells in an analogous, though very diversified manner, so that it may be asserted that there is one universal principle of development for the elementary parts of organisms, however different, and that this principle is the formation of cells." |
1840 James Joule Develops the concept of conservation of energy. |
1844 First electric telegraph |
1856 William Ferrel Publishes Essay on the Winds and Currents of the Ocean, a pivotal work in the history of meteorology. |
1859 Charles Darwin Publishes The Origin of Species. |
1865 Gregor Mendel Publishes work containing his famous laws of heredity. |
1860s Henry Sorby Emphasizes how material properties depend upon their internal microscopic structure. |
1869 Dmitri Mendeleev Publishes his Periodic Table of the Chemical Elements. |
1889 Camillo Golgi Uses techniques to lay bare the cellular anatomy of the brain. |
1895 Wilhelm Röntgen Discovers x-rays. |
1897 Marie Curie She and husband Pierre clarify concept of radioactivity as an atomic property. |
1897 J. J. Thomson Discovers the electron. |
1900s |
1900 Max Planck Quantum science is born. |
1905 Albert Einstein Develops Special Theory of Relativity; later (in 1916) publishes General Theory of Relativity. |
1912 Alfred Wegener Proposes the continental drift theory. |
1920s Quantum mechanics emerges |
1927 Georges Lemaître Introduces big bang theory. |
1929 Edwin Hubble Successfully argues that the universe is expanding. |
1930 Linus Pauling Updates chemistry with ideas of quantum mechanics. |
1938 Hans Spemann Proposes the concept of cloning. |
1939-45 Birth of nuclear technology |
1947 William Shockley, Walter Brattain, and John Bardeen Invent the transistor. |
1953 James Watson and Francis Crick Publish the structure of DNA. "It has not escaped our notice that the specific pairings we have postulated immediately suggests a possible copying mechanism for the genetic material." |
1953 Harry Hess, Dan McKenzie, Jason Morgan, and J. Tuzo Wilson Develop theory of tectonic plates. |
1957 Soviets launch Sputnik. |
1961 Murray Gell-Mann Postulates the existence of quarks. |
1962 Rachel Carson Publishes Silent Spring, linking pesticide use to ecological ills. |
1969 The U.S. Department of Defense's Advanced Research Projects Agency creates ARPAnet, the precursor to the Internet and the World Wide Web. |
1970 Hamilton Smith and Daniel Nathans Develop first recombinant DNA techniques. |
1970s The Standard Model of particle physics emerges |
1971 First commercial microprocessor manufactured. |
1981 Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) recognized. |
Mid-1980s Kary Mullis Develops polymerase chain reaction (PCR). |
1985 Ozone hole discovered over Antarctica. |
1990 Human Genome Project begins. |
1992 World Wide Web demonstrated at CERN.WWW.net |
1995 Bose-Einstein condensate created in laboratory. |
1997 Ian Wilmut and Keith Campbell Clone a sheep from adult cells. |
All-Too-Human Science |
Pathways of discovery are only smooth and linear when the nuanced and tortuous history of science is brutally edited to fit into a finite space. The items to the right represent the countless twists, turns, ironies, contradictions, tragedies, and other unkempt historical details that have synthesized into the far more complex and multitextured reality of the scientific adventure. 4th century B.C.: Aristotle rejects the atomism of Leucippus and Democritus in favor of the five-element material system -- earth, air, fire, water, and ether. Atomism doesn't surface seriously for 2000 years. Meanwhile, the four-element philosophy spurs alchemical thought and practice. The power of authority often still poses obstacles to new ideas. 9th to 15th centuries: The flow of science and technology is mostly into Europe from Islam and China. Among the innovations diffusing westward: paper, chemical technology, glassmaking, the compass, shipbuilding, and gunpowder. In the 15th century, the centers of science and technology begin shifting to the West. 1543: Copernicus helps begin the scientific revolution with his heliocentric theory of the universe. Yet he retains the perfect circularity of orbits demanded by Platonic idealism and Ptolemaic astronomy. His work embodies both a radicalism that unlocks new knowledge and a conservatism. These together account for much of the progressive nature of scientific knowledge. 1633: The Holy Inquisition threatens Galileo Galilei with torture unless he renounces heliocentrism. He acquiesces but is confined to house arrest for the rest of his life for previously defying Church authority by publicly promoting the theory. The Galileo affair has since represented -- in the most dramatic fashion -- the tension between scientific and religious authority. 17th century: Even as Isaac Newton ascends to become an icon of the scientific revolution, he devotes 1 million words and countless hours of his intellect to the practice of alchemy. The ability of the human mind to simultaneously entertain contrary belief systems is a perennial source of wonder. c1900: Shortly after Röntgen discovered x-rays, the French physicist, René Blondlot, claimed discovery of what he called "N-rays." Other scientists confirmed his observations. Papers were published. Trouble was, N-rays didn't exist. This episode has become a classic case of "pathological science" in which self-deception, wishful thinking, and selective use and negligence of data can lead scientists astray. 1926: Alfred Wegener's theory of continental drift submerges due to the lack of support from his peers (to say the least). Forty years later, moving continents were established as scientific fact. The critical attitude always has been central to the scientific process, but it also can lead to the premature rejection of good ideas. This episode also is testimony to the faith among scientists that the truth will come out. World War II: Often known as "the physicists' war," WWII demonstrated tight links between science, technology, and national security. Synthetic rubber, radar, proximity fuses, and the fission bomb all emerged from the most extensive government-supported R&D program in history. After the war, this new R&D infrastructure evolved into its present form. 1953: Without Rosalind Franklin's crystallographic data of DNA, James Watson and Francis Crick wouldn't have determined that molecule's structure when they did. The two of them and Franklin's senior co-worker, Maurice Wilkins, shared a Nobel Prize for the discovery. Franklin never received official credit for her contribution, and her role was written out of early historical accounts. Franklin represents the struggle for professional parity that women have waged, and continue to wage, in the scientific community. The 20th century--The Janus Face of ScienceScience has never been a value-free enterprise, and its double-edgedness expressed itself with a sobering regularity this century. Before there was "better living through chemistry," there were clouds of death-dealing chlorine on the Western Front of World War I. The next World War and the Cold War ushered in the awesome power of nuclear fission and fusion and a new kind of apocalyptic angst. Then came Rachel Carson. She alerted the world to global-scale ecological threats that can come with wide-scale environmental releases of synthetic chemicals. Her point was reiterated in the 1970s and 1980s when industrial activity and products were linked to planet-altering threats like ozone holes and global warming. Now, the growing ability to understand and manipulate our own genetic foundations opens up almost utopian medical possibilities. But that gleamy-eyed future only comes with the threat of unnerving compromises ranging from genetics-based job discrimination to the possibility of literally bumbling with the genetic constitutions of all generations that follow this one. Science has entangled itself within the most important values there are, and that brings with it unprecedented responsibilities for scientists of the next millennium. |
Acknowledgments: Guidance for this graphic came from many books and other documents, as well as from the following historians: Robert Friedel, Naomi Oreskes, Steven Dick, Garland Allen, Spencer Weart, Sara Schechner, and James Fleming. The editors reserve credit for any remaining errors of fact or interpretation. |
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